Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academica Praia vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Praia in this Campeonato Nacional 2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Academica Praia
22%
Draws
18%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Academica Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ultramarina haven't matched Academica Praia's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Academica Praia taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Praia Ultramarina
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Academica Praia
1:1
May 23, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Ultramarina
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Praia 58 / 100
Ultramarina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Praia Ultramarina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Academica Praia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Academica Praia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academica Praia VS Ultramarina
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91