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Academica Recea vs Baia Mare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Recea host Baia Mare in the Liga 3 - Seria 8. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Academica Recea at 1.93 goals for, 1.33 against; Baia Mare at 2.14 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Academica Recea slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.38) point toward Baia Mare. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Academica Recea
20%
Draws
38%
Baia Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Academica Recea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baia Mare come out ahead of Academica Recea on wins alone.
  • Baia Mare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Academica Recea Clean Sheet 10%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Recea Baia Mare
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.93 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Baia Mare vs Academica Recea
3:1
Aug 25, 2021 Romanian Cup
Academica Recea vs Baia Mare
0:0
Oct 7, 2020 Romanian Cup
Baia Mare vs Academica Recea
0:3
Aug 9, 2020 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Academica Recea vs Baia Mare
3:1
Aug 5, 2020 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Baia Mare vs Academica Recea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Recea 10 / 100
Baia Mare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Recea Baia Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Recea's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Baia Mare let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Academica Recea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica Recea VS Baia Mare
2 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Recea

(Home)
16 Oct
Academica Recea
1 : 3
Sanatatea Cluj
10 Oct
Crisul Santandrei
0 : 2
Academica Recea
02 Oct
Academica Recea
1 : 0
Sighetu Marmatiei
26 Sept
Unirea Tasnad
1 : 2
Academica Recea
23 Sept
Academica Recea
7 : 1
Transilvania Sport Academy
Page 1 of 6

Baia Mare

(Away)
17 Oct
Bihorul Beius
0 : 0
Baia Mare
10 Oct
Baia Mare
6 : 0
Transilvania Sport Academy
02 Oct
Baile Felix
0 : 4
Baia Mare
26 Sept
Baia Mare
2 : 2
Viitorul Cluj
22 Sept
Sanatatea Cluj
0 : 2
Baia Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 9 6 2 1 24:6 20
2 Sanatatea Cluj 9 4 4 1 16:7 16
3 Crisul Santandrei 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
4 SCM Zalau 9 4 3 2 14:7 15
5 Academica Recea 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
6 Sighetu Marmatiei 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Baile Felix 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
8 Viitorul Cluj 9 3 3 3 17:12 12
9 Bihorul Beius 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
10 Unirea Tasnad 9 2 3 4 5:16 9
11 Unirea Dej 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 9 0 1 8 7:32 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 8 (Relegation Group)