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Academica U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica U19 play Vitoria Setubal U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academica U19 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Vitoria Setubal U19 averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Academica U19 won 1, Vitoria Setubal U19 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Academica U19 and 0.88 for Vitoria Setubal U19. This points to a Academica U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Academica U19
33%
Draws
28%
Vitoria Setubal U19
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Academica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica U19 picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria Setubal U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Academica U19 Clean Sheet 25%
Vitoria Setubal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica U19 Vitoria Setubal U19
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Academica U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Academica U19
2:2
Dec 2, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Academica U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Academica U19
5:1
Apr 15, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Academica U19
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica U19 40 / 100
Vitoria Setubal U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica U19 Vitoria Setubal U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica U19 attacking → ← attacking Vitoria Setubal U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica U19 scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Vitoria Setubal U19 let in goals in 94% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Academica U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Setubal U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00