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Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ferreira D.
40' Event
Simoes J.
47' Event
Cifarelli L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Revelacao U23 2021/2022 game between Academica U23 and Vitoria Guimaraes U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Academica U23
28%
Draws
22%
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U23 haven't matched Academica U23's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Academica U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Academica U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica U23 Vitoria Guimaraes U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
4:1
Jan 22, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23
1:2
Oct 29, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
1:2
Aug 19, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 vs Academica U23
4:1
Mar 15, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Academica U23 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simoes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cifarelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica U23 47 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica U23 Vitoria Guimaraes U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Academica U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Vitoria Guimaraes U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica U23 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica U23

(Home)
02 Apr
SC Farense U23
3 : 0
Academica U23
19 Mar
Academica U23
0 : 3
BSAD U23
12 Mar
Academica U23
4 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
04 Mar
Vizela U23
5 : 0
Academica U23
26 Feb
Academica U23
2 : 1
Sporting CP U23
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Vitoria Guimaraes U23

(Away)
04 Apr
Maritimo U23
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
25 Mar
BSAD U23
5 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
18 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
1 : 1
SC Farense U23
12 Mar
Academica U23
4 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
26 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U23
3 : 1
Vizela U23
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