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Academica vs CF Os Belenenses

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fernandes R.
Assist: Miguel B.
34'
Paulo D.
45'
Pinto A.

AI Match Summary

Academica in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Academica
28%
Draws
50%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Os Belenenses lately — more wins on the board than Academica.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on CF Os Belenenses taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Academica Clean Sheet 18%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 3
Academica vs CF Os Belenenses
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Academica
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Academica
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3
Academica vs CF Os Belenenses
4:1
Jan 25, 2025 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Academica
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Souza B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 23 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

CF Os Belenenses has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Academica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica VS CF Os Belenenses
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
22 Jul
Tondela
2 : 1
Academica
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
2 : 0
Academica
15 Jul
Torreense
5 : 0
Academica
11 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 1
Academica
16 May
Academica
3 : 0
Trofense
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
17 Jul
Alverca
2 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0
SC Farense
23 May
SC Farense
1 : 0
CF Os Belenenses
16 May
CF Os Belenenses
3 : 1
Mafra
10 May
Varzim
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC1494122:1131
2Academica1484223:1328
3CF Os Belenenses1475225:1626
4Mafra1452717:2417
5Vitoria Guimaraes B1445516:1717
6Varzim1442813:1914
7Santarem1424813:2010
8Trofense142487:1610
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)