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Academica vs Redonda

Angola Angola

Girabola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola game between Academica and Redonda finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Academica
33%
Draws
27%
Redonda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Academica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica come out ahead of Redonda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Academica a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Girabola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Academica Clean Sheet 68%
Redonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Redonda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Girabola
Academica vs Redonda
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Girabola
Redonda vs Academica
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 50 / 100
Redonda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Academica scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Redonda has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Academica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica VS Redonda
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
24 May
Academica
0 : 0
Interclube
20 May
Academica
1 : 1
Petro Atletico
17 May
C.R.D. Libolo
3 : 0
Academica
14 May
Academica
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
10 May
Academica
0 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
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Redonda

(Away)
24 May
Primeiro de Agosto
1 : 1
Redonda
20 May
Redonda
1 : 1
Wiliete
16 May
Bravos do Maquis
1 : 0
Redonda
09 May
Redonda
0 : 2
Sagrada
06 May
Desportivo Huila
2 : 0
Redonda
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petro Atletico30226263:1572
2Wiliete30188449:2962
3Primeiro de Agosto301512347:2257
4Desportivo Huila301210835:2646
5Kabuscorp301012826:2242
6Bravos do Maquis301261233:3042
7Interclube30913835:2840
8CD Lunda Sul3010101027:2840
9Primeiro de Maio301071329:3337
10Sagrada308111133:4035
11Sao Salvador30981327:3335
12Academica308111125:3035
13C.R.D. Libolo30971426:3734
14Luanda City30961521:4533
15Redonda30561915:4721
16Guelson30632124:5021
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)