Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra

Vitoria Guimaraes B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Academica play Vitoria Guimaraes B in the Liga 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academica averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Vitoria Guimaraes B averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Academica won 1, Vitoria Guimaraes B won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Academica and 0.81 for Vitoria Guimaraes B. This points to a Academica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Academica

35%

Draws

29%

Vitoria Guimaraes B

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Academica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Academica picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria Guimaraes B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Academica Clean Sheet 26%

Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Academica	Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	11	9
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.61	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.96	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Academica

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Feb 6, 2026 Liga 3

Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Feb 2, 2019 Liga Portugal 2

Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Aug 26, 2018 Liga Portugal 2

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Academica

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Feb 17, 2018 Liga Portugal 2

Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 38 / 100

Vitoria Guimaraes B 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Academica Vitoria Guimaraes B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica attacking → ← attacking Vitoria Guimaraes B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Academica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 45

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amarante FC	14	9	4	1	22:11	31
2	Academica	14	8	4	2	23:13	28
3	CF Os Belenenses	14	7	5	2	25:16	26
4	Mafra	14	5	2	7	17:24	17
5	Vitoria Guimaraes B	14	4	5	5	16:17	17
6	Varzim	14	4	2	8	13:19	14
7	Santarem	14	2	4	8	13:20	10
8	Trofense	14	2	4	8	7:16	10