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Academica Vitoria vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023 Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Academica Vitoria
33%
Draws
27%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica Vitoria have won more games recently than Afogados da Ingazeira.
  • Academica Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Afogados da Ingazeira here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 19 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:2
Mar 13, 2021 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Academica Vitoria
2:0
Jul 19, 2020 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Academica Vitoria
1:0
Mar 17, 2019 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Afogados da Ingazeira
2:2
Mar 4, 2018 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Academica Vitoria
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 40 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Afogados da Ingazeira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Afogados da Ingazeira let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Academica Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS Afogados da Ingazeira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375