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Academica Vitoria vs Araripina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Pernambucano 2 2013 Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro, Vitoria de Santo Antao
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2013 game between Academica Vitoria and Araripina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Academica Vitoria
20%
Draws
58%
Araripina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Vitoria come out ahead of Araripina on wins alone.
  • Araripina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Araripina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Araripina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Academica Vitoria
2:1
Sep 18, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Araripina
2:1
Apr 3, 2011 Pernambucano
Araripina vs Academica Vitoria
2:0
Feb 6, 2011 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Araripina
2:1
Apr 18, 2010 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Araripina
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 28 / 100
Araripina 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Araripina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araripina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Araripina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Academica Vitoria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica Vitoria

(Home)
31 Jan
Academica Vitoria
2 : 3
Nautico
28 Jan
Decisao
0 : 4
Academica Vitoria
24 Jan
Sport Recife
3 : 0
Academica Vitoria
21 Jan
Academica Vitoria
0 : 2
Maguary
17 Jan
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

Araripina

(Away)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Centro Limoeirense 9 6 3 0 13:6 21
2 Araripina 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
3 Academica Vitoria 10 5 2 3 15:11 17
4 Jaguar 10 4 0 6 10:14 12
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 1 4 5 7:12 7
6 Sete de Setembro (PE) 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timbauba FC 10 7 3 0 19:8 24
2 Altinho FC 10 7 1 2 18:10 22
3 America PE 10 6 1 3 18:14 19
4 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 16:16 9
5 Vera Cruz 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
6 Serrano PE 10 0 3 7 9:25 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Play Offs)