Sport Picks

Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023 Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro

Academica Vitoria

2 - 1

Decisao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Academica Vitoria and Decisao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Academica Vitoria

39%

Draws

31%

Decisao

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Academica Vitoria come out ahead of Decisao on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 17%

Decisao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Academica Vitoria	Decisao
Matches Played	42	50
Wins	22	21
Draws	8	11
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	1.2	1
Goals Conceded	1.8	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.80	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Pernambucano

Decisao vs Academica Vitoria

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Aug 24, 2024 Pernambucano 2

Decisao vs Academica Vitoria

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

5:2

Nov 7, 2023 Pernambucano 2

Academica Vitoria vs Decisao

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Aug 5, 2020 Pernambucano

Decisao vs Academica Vitoria

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 19, 2020 Pernambucano

Academica Vitoria vs Decisao

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 30 / 100

Decisao 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Academica Vitoria Decisao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Academica Vitoria scored in 74% of their last 42 games.

Decisao let in goals in 74% of their last 50 matches.

Away concern: Decisao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS Decisao

1.2 Goals Scored 1

1.8 Goals Conceded 2.25

80% Over 1.5 75%

60% Over 2.5 63%

40% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Afogados da Ingazeira	11	10	1	0	28:4	31
2	Academica Vitoria	11	9	0	2	36:10	27
3	Flamengo Arcoverde	11	9	0	2	27:8	27
4	Decisao	11	7	0	4	16:10	21
5	Vera Cruz	11	6	2	3	31:19	20
6	Ibis Sport Club	11	4	3	4	19:23	15
7	Atletico Torres	11	4	1	6	14:17	13
8	Jaguar	11	3	1	7	13:24	10
9	Atletico PE	11	2	3	6	10:15	9
10	Centro Limoeirense	11	2	1	8	10:26	7
11	1º de Maio	11	1	2	8	11:31	5
12	Ferroviario do Cabo	11	1	2	8	9:37	5