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Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023 Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro
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AI Match Summary

Academica Vitoria in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica Vitoria
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaguar haven't matched Academica Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Academica Vitoria taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Jaguar
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria
3:0
Jul 9, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria
0:1
Oct 14, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 85 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Jaguar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Jaguar has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Jaguar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS Jaguar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375