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Academico 83 vs Academica Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2012 game between Academico 83 and Academica Porto Novo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Academico 83
17%
Draws
70%
Academica Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Academico 83 haven't matched Academica Porto Novo's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Academica Porto Novo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Academica Porto Novo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Academico 83 Clean Sheet 11%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico 83 Academica Porto Novo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 2.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academico 83
2:0
May 9, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academico 83
1:0
May 25, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Academico 83
3:0
May 12, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
Academico 83 vs Academica Porto Novo
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico 83 14 / 100
Academica Porto Novo 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico 83 Academica Porto Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Porto Novo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Academico 83 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Academico 83 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academico 83 VS Academica Porto Novo
1.67 Goals Scored 1
2.67 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico 83

(Home)
12 May
Academico 83
2 : 4
Ultramarina
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Academico 83
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
20 Apr
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 0
Academico 83
13 Apr
Ultramarina
3 : 1
Academico 83
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Academica Porto Novo

(Away)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia532015:311
2Academica do Fogo52213:38
3FC Juventude Sal52218:98
4Batuque FC52216:38
5Estrela dos Amadores51228:75
6Associacao Academica da Brava50051:160
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Atletico550015:815
2Academica Porto Novo531110:610
3Mindelense521210:47
4Paulense51226:95
5Academica Boavista50239:162
6Academico 8350236:132
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2012 (Play Offs)