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Academico 83 vs Sporting da Brava

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Academico 83 and Sporting da Brava finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico 83.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Academico 83
35%
Draws
52%
Sporting da Brava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting da Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting da Brava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Academico 83 Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting da Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico 83 Sporting da Brava
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.94 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs Academico 83
3:2
Apr 6, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academico 83 vs Sporting da Brava
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico 83 36 / 100
Sporting da Brava 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico 83 Sporting da Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting da Brava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting da Brava conceded in 92% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Academico 83 scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Academico 83 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academico 83 VS Sporting da Brava
1.33 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico 83

(Home)
12 May
Academico 83
2 : 4
Ultramarina
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Academico 83
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
20 Apr
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 0
Academico 83
13 Apr
Ultramarina
3 : 1
Academico 83
Page 1 of 7

Sporting da Brava

(Away)
12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0
Sporting da Brava
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2
Sporting da Brava
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2
Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
3 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Academica do Fogo 6 0 4 2 3:5 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
2 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Sporting da Brava 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
4 Academico 83 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oasis 6 3 2 1 7:8 11
2 Onze Estrelas 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Celtic 6 2 3 1 6:1 9
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams