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Academico do Sal vs Academica do Fogo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lopes R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Academico do Sal and Academica do Fogo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico do Sal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Academico do Sal
28%
Draws
50%
Academica do Fogo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academica do Fogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Academico do Sal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Academica do Fogo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 19%
Academica do Fogo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico do Sal Academica do Fogo
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Academica do Fogo
1:0
May 18, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Fogo vs Academico do Sal
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academico do Sal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Academica do Fogo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico do Sal 24 / 100
Academica do Fogo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico do Sal Academica do Fogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico do Sal's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Academica do Fogo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Academico do Sal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academico do Sal VS Academica do Fogo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico do Sal

(Home)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

Academica do Fogo

(Away)
15 Jun
Juventude
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Academica do Fogo
18 May
Academica do Fogo
2 : 3
Academico do Sal
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico do Sal63129:810
2Academica do Fogo622211:68
3Rosariense62225:78
4Juventude61328:126
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira633013:512
2Morabeza62317:79
3Barreirense62228:88
4GD Varandinha60247:152
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia651012:216
2FC Derby63217:411
3Ultramarina61145:134
4Sanjoanenses60243:82
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams