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Academico do Sal vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Lopes J.
87' Event
Lopes J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Academico do Sal and Rosariense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico do Sal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Academico do Sal
30%
Draws
47%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Academico do Sal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 20%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico do Sal Rosariense
Matches Played 25 18
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academico do Sal
1:0
May 5, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Rosariense
2:0
May 14, 2011 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academico do Sal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academico do Sal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rosariense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico do Sal 31 / 100
Rosariense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico do Sal Rosariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academico do Sal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico do Sal's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rosariense conceded in 72% of 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Academico do Sal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academico do Sal VS Rosariense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico do Sal

(Home)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

Rosariense

(Away)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Academica do Fogo 6 2 2 2 11:6 8
3 Rosariense 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Juventude 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Morabeza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
3 Barreirense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 FC Derby 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Ultramarina 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
4 Sanjoanenses 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams