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Academico Viseu vs FC Felgueiras

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Fontelo
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AI Match Summary

Academico Viseu play FC Felgueiras in the Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academico Viseu averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. FC Felgueiras averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Academico Viseu won 1, FC Felgueiras won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Academico Viseu and 0.63 for FC Felgueiras. This points to a Academico Viseu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Academico Viseu
34%
Draws
24%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Academico Viseu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Academico Viseu picked up more points recently compared to FC Felgueiras.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Academico Viseu Clean Sheet 29%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico Viseu FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.7 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs FC Felgueiras
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Academico Viseu
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs FC Felgueiras
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Academico Viseu
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico Viseu 44 / 100
FC Felgueiras 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico Viseu FC Felgueiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academico Viseu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academico Viseu attacking → ← attacking FC Felgueiras

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico Viseu scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Felgueiras let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Academico Viseu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Felgueiras lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 34
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934