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Academico Viseu vs Vilafranquense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio do Fontelo, Viseu
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Correia A.
14'
Veiga E.
15' Event
Andre Clovis
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between Academico Viseu and Vilafranquense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico Viseu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Academico Viseu
30%
Draws
23%
Vilafranquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academico Viseu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Academico Viseu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Academico Viseu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Academico Viseu Clean Sheet 68%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico Viseu Vilafranquense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Vilafranquense
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Academico Viseu
1:3
Apr 9, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Academico Viseu
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Vilafranquense
0:0
May 10, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Vilafranquense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academico Viseu Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Clovis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Vilafranquense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico Viseu 59 / 100
Vilafranquense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico Viseu Vilafranquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academico Viseu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico Viseu's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vilafranquense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Academico Viseu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academico Viseu VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico Viseu

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
29 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 3
FC Porto
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
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Vilafranquense

(Away)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)