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Acambaro vs CD Ayense

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sosa A.
36' Event
Dominguez D.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Sosa A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 game between Acambaro and CD Ayense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ayense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Acambaro
35%
Draws
24%
CD Ayense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acambaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ayense come out ahead of Acambaro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Acambaro Clean Sheet 15%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acambaro CD Ayense
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Acambaro vs CD Ayense
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Acambaro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acambaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Ayense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acambaro 30 / 100
CD Ayense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acambaro CD Ayense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acambaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acambaro found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

CD Ayense has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Acambaro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acambaro VS CD Ayense
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acambaro

(Home)
30 Mar
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
4 : 0
Acambaro
26 Mar
Acambaro
0 : 0
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
15 Mar
Acambaro
1 : 0
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
07 Mar
Huracanes Izcalli
3 : 8
Acambaro
22 Feb
Dragones de Oaxaca
1 : 2
Acambaro
Page 1 of 4

CD Ayense

(Away)
28 Mar
FC Racing
2 : 2
CD Ayense
26 Mar
CD Ayense
1 : 1
FC Racing
15 Mar
CD Ayense
1 : 2
FC Racing
07 Mar
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
0 : 0
CD Ayense
22 Feb
CD Ayense
3 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 FC Racing 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)