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Acao vs Atletico MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Acao
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico MT
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico MT haven't matched Acao's recent run of results.
  • Acao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Acao Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao Atletico MT
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 8 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Atletico MT
2:2
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Atletico MT
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao 85 / 100
Atletico MT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao Atletico MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico MT has conceded goals in 92% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Acao scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Acao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Acao VS Atletico MT
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Acao

(Home)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
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Atletico MT

(Away)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)