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Acao vs Cacerense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Acao Logo

Acao

2 - 1
FT
Cacerense Logo

Cacerense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Acao in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Acao
20%
Draws
48%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Acao haven't matched Cacerense's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Acao Clean Sheet 20%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao Cacerense
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Cacerense
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Cacerense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao 31 / 100
Cacerense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Acao scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Cacerense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Acao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acao VS Cacerense
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acao

(Home)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
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Cacerense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 1 1 12:3 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
4 Gremio Sorriso 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uirapuru 4 3 1 0 15:4 10
2 Acao 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
3 Cacerense 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
4 Paulistano FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
5 Atletico MT 4 0 2 2 3:12 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)