Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acassuso vs Colon Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rey L.
Assist: Hermoso A.
22'
Rodriguez T.
28'
Dubini K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Acassuso and Colon Santa Fe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Acassuso
20%
Draws
29%
Colon Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Acassuso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Colon Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Acassuso taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.53 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Colon Santa Fe
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Acassuso
1:0
Apr 24, 2019 Copa Argentina
Colon Santa Fe vs Acassuso
3:0
May 28, 2015 Copa Argentina
Colon Santa Fe vs Acassuso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acassuso Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Garate L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 50 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso Colon Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acassuso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Acassuso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Colon Santa Fe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Acassuso scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS Colon Santa Fe
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acassuso

(Home)
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
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Colon Santa Fe

(Away)
26 Sept
All Boys
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Racing Cordoba
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)