Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
D'Anna S.
69'
69'
Garnica A.
AI Match Summary
A.C.D. Nardo in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C.D. Nardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Manfredonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- A.C.D. Nardo have won more games recently than Manfredonia.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 26%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A.C.D. Nardo | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:3
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C.D. Nardo Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Anna S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garnica A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Manfredonia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C.D. Nardo 33 / 100
Manfredonia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C.D. Nardo Manfredonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A.C.D. Nardo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Manfredonia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: A.C.D. Nardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
A.C.D. Nardo VS Manfredonia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C.D. Nardo
(Home) 20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2 Bisceglie
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2 Bisceglie
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0 Barletta
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
02 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Pompei
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Manfredonia
(Away) 20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1 Manfredonia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
