Sport Picks

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A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
D'Anna S.
69' Event
Garnica A.

AI Match Summary

A.C.D. Nardo in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
A.C.D. Nardo
28%
Draws
22%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • A.C.D. Nardo have won more games recently than Manfredonia.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on A.C.D. Nardo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Manfredonia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Manfredonia
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:3
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Anna S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garnica A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Manfredonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 59 / 100
Manfredonia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C.D. Nardo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: A.C.D. Nardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Manfredonia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS Manfredonia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
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Manfredonia

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)