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A.C.D. Nardo vs Virtus Matino Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

77'
Mengoli G.
77'
Mengoli G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
A.C.D. Nardo
20%
Draws
44%
Virtus Matino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Matino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A.C.D. Nardo lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Matino.
  • A.C.D. Nardo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Virtus Matino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Virtus Matino
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 68 / 100
Virtus Matino 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Virtus Matino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Matino let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

A.C.D. Nardo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

A.C.D. Nardo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Virtus Matino lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Matino

(Away)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)