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Acero vs Muro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016
Acero Logo

Acero

2 - 1
FT
Muro Logo

Muro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 game between Acero and Muro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Acero
30%
Draws
42%
Muro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Muro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Muro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Acero Clean Sheet 20%
Muro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acero Muro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Muro
2:1
Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Acero
3:1
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Acero vs Muro
1:4
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Acero
3:0
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Acero
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acero 24 / 100
Muro 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acero Muro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Acero found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Muro conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Acero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acero VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acero

(Home)
21 Aug
Vall de Uxo
1 : 1
Acero
12 May
Acero
2 : 3
Silla CF
05 May
Ontinyent 1931 CF
2 : 2
Acero
01 May
Acero
2 : 0
Ilicitano
27 Apr
Utiel
2 : 2
Acero
Page 1 of 6

Muro

(Away)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Saguntino 38 25 7 6 62:25 82
2 Ontinyent 38 23 5 10 62:39 74
3 Castellon 38 19 10 9 60:41 67
4 Ilicitano 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
5 Villarreal C 38 15 16 7 64:43 61
6 Alzira 38 18 6 14 57:50 60
7 Orihuela 38 16 8 14 50:46 56
8 Novelda CF 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
9 Rayo Ibense 38 15 10 13 38:40 55
10 Torre Levante 38 13 14 11 43:35 53
11 Crevillente 38 13 12 13 41:37 51
12 Torrevieja 38 14 9 15 46:47 51
13 Muro 38 13 10 15 44:51 49
14 Paterna 38 10 12 16 38:53 42
15 Catarroja CF 38 13 3 22 42:61 42
16 Borriol 38 10 10 18 36:51 40
17 CD Bunol 38 9 12 17 22:43 39
18 Espanol de San Vicente 38 8 14 16 34:48 38
19 UD Beniganim 38 7 12 19 41:66 33
20 Acero 38 5 10 23 28:69 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)