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Acerrana vs Brindisi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Elefante S.
14' Event
Rajkovic M.
43' Event
Rajkovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Acerrana and Brindisi finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acerrana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Acerrana
20%
Draws
80%
Brindisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brindisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Brindisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Brindisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 20%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana Brindisi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 12
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Brindisi
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Acerrana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Elefante S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Laringe F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajkovic M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 10 / 100
Brindisi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana Brindisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brindisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brindisi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Acerrana found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Brindisi has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS Brindisi
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
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Brindisi

(Away)
04 May
Brindisi
0 : 0
Francavilla
27 Apr
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Brindisi
17 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
13 Apr
Nocerina
2 : 0
Brindisi
06 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 0
ASD Ugento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)