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Acerrana vs Costa Amalfi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Elefante S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Acerrana and Costa Amalfi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acerrana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Acerrana
15%
Draws
85%
Costa Amalfi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Amalfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Costa Amalfi haven't matched Acerrana's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Costa Amalfi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 18%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana Costa Amalfi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 3 10
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.72 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Acerrana
1:4
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Costa Amalfi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Elefante S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Costa Amalfi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 23 / 100
Costa Amalfi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana Costa Amalfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Amalfi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Amalfi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Costa Amalfi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Acerrana scored in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 7

Costa Amalfi

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)