Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Santoro D.
AI Match Summary
Gravina in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gravina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gravina lately — more wins on the board than Acerrana.
- Model gives Gravina a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%
Gravina Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Acerrana | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 24 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Gravina
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Acerrana
4:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Gravina
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Acerrana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Acerrana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Gravina Compare
Top Goalscorer Santoro D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Acerrana 10 / 100
Gravina 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Acerrana Gravina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gravina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gravina let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Acerrana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Acerrana VS Gravina
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Acerrana
(Home) 03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0 Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
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03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
22 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
15 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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Gravina
(Away) 16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6 Gravina
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16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6 Gravina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5 Gravina
29 Mar
Manfredonia
1 : 2 Gravina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
