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Acerrana vs Pompei

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ragosta M.
44' Event
Galdean M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Fusco S.

AI Match Summary

Pompei in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pompei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Acerrana
15%
Draws
85%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pompei have won more games recently than Acerrana.
  • Pompei are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 11%
Pompei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acerrana Pompei
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.6 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Pompei
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Acerrana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acerrana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pompei Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragosta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fusco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acerrana 10 / 100
Pompei 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acerrana Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pompei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Acerrana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Pompei's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Acerrana VS Pompei
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acerrana

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)