Sport Picks
Acerrana vs Virtus Francavilla
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sosa F.
AI Match Summary
Virtus Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Acerrana haven't matched Virtus Francavilla's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Virtus Francavilla's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Virtus Francavilla have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Acerrana | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 24 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Acerrana
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Virtus Francavilla
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Acerrana
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Acerrana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Sosa F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Acerrana 10 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Acerrana Virtus Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Virtus Francavilla conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Acerrana found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Acerrana VS Virtus Francavilla
0.71 Goals Scored 1.13
2.71 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Acerrana
(Home) 03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0 Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
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03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
22 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
15 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
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Virtus Francavilla
(Away) 27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
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20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
22 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
