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Acopiara vs Vila Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
2 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Bruno Tesouro
64' Event
Veraldo
1' Event
Davi
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Acopiara
15%
Draws
34%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Acopiara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Acopiara on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Vila Real arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Acopiara, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Acopiara Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acopiara Vila Real
Matches Played 9 19
Wins 7 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 1.89 1.05
Goals Conceded 1 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Cearense 3
Acopiara vs Vila Real
2:1
Aug 22, 2026 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Acopiara
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acopiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Tesouro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Veraldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acopiara 41 / 100
Vila Real 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acopiara Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acopiara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acopiara's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Acopiara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vila Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 19 matches.

Scoring Trends

Acopiara VS Vila Real
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acopiara

(Home)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
Page 1 of 2

Vila Real

(Away)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vila Real 2
Pacatuba 1
Acopiara 3
Esporte Limoeiro 1
Final
Vila Real 1
Acopiara 2