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ACS Medias vs Muscelul Muscel

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ACS Medias play Muscelul Muscel in the Liga 3 - Seria 6. It looks like a close match. Recently, ACS Medias averaged 2 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Muscelul Muscel averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, ACS Medias won 0, Muscelul Muscel won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for ACS Medias and 2.06 for Muscelul Muscel. This points to a ACS Medias double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
ACS Medias
35%
Draws
32%
Muscelul Muscel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ACS Medias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • ACS Medias picked up more points recently compared to Muscelul Muscel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
ACS Medias Clean Sheet 10%
Muscelul Muscel Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACS Medias Muscelul Muscel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 6
ACS Medias vs Muscelul Muscel
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Muscelul Muscel vs ACS Medias
3:3
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
ACS Medias vs Muscelul Muscel
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACS Medias 32 / 100
Muscelul Muscel 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACS Medias Muscelul Muscel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ACS Medias or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ACS Medias attacking → ← attacking Muscelul Muscel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ACS Medias scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Muscelul Muscel let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

ACS Medias went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Muscelul Muscel lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 45
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50