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AD Aguila vs Mairena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2007/2008
AD Aguila Logo

AD Aguila

0 - 5
FT
Mairena Logo

Mairena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2007/2008 game between AD Aguila and Mairena finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mairena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AD Aguila
15%
Draws
42%
Mairena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mairena come out ahead of AD Aguila on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mairena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AD Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Mairena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Aguila Mairena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Aguila vs Mairena
0:5
Nov 25, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs AD Aguila
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Aguila 28 / 100
Mairena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Aguila Mairena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Mairena conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

AD Aguila went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AD Aguila scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mairena
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Aguila

(Home)
18 May
AD Aguila
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
11 May
Arcos CF
1 : 2
AD Aguila
01 May
AD Aguila
3 : 0
CD San Fernando
27 Apr
CD Villanueva
2 : 1
AD Aguila
19 Apr
AD Aguila
0 : 5
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

Mairena

(Away)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD San Fernando 38 23 9 6 64:36 78
2 Puerto Real CF 38 20 10 8 64:42 70
3 Linense 38 17 18 3 63:32 69
4 CD Villanueva 38 19 10 9 47:32 67
5 Pozoblanco 38 18 12 8 52:38 66
6 Sanluqueno 38 18 8 12 57:43 62
7 UD Los Palacios 38 15 16 7 54:34 61
8 Sevilla C 38 15 15 8 53:42 60
9 Los Barrios 38 15 9 14 45:39 54
10 Mairena 38 13 11 14 47:39 50
11 Cadiz B 38 13 10 15 54:56 49
12 San Roque de Lepe 38 12 10 16 40:50 46
13 Cordoba B 38 12 8 18 44:63 44
14 Jerez Industrial 38 11 8 19 35:49 41
15 Dos Hermanas 38 10 10 18 34:49 40
16 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 36:58 40
17 AD Cartaya 38 10 9 19 39:61 39
18 AD Aguila 38 9 11 18 35:53 38
19 Arcos CF 38 9 7 22 34:55 34
20 Xerez B 38 6 10 22 30:56 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)