Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Alcala vs Colonia Moscardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Alcala in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AD Alcala
35%
Draws
45%
Colonia Moscardo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Colonia Moscardo have won more games recently than AD Alcala.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Colonia Moscardo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 18%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala Colonia Moscardo
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.82 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Colonia Moscardo
1:0
Oct 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs AD Alcala
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 10 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala Colonia Moscardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Alcala found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Colonia Moscardo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AD Alcala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colonia Moscardo
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Alcala

(Home)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 7

Colonia Moscardo

(Away)
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)