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AD Cartaya vs Cabecense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
AD Cartaya Logo

AD Cartaya

1 - 0
FT
Cabecense Logo

Cabecense

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Urri F.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between AD Cartaya and Cabecense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Cartaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AD Cartaya
15%
Draws
49%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cabecense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AD Cartaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AD Cartaya are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 20%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cartaya Cabecense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.91 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Cabecense
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs AD Cartaya
1:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs AD Cartaya
0:0
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Cabecense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cartaya 36 / 100
Cabecense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cartaya Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabecense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cabecense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

AD Cartaya scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Cartaya VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cartaya

(Home)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
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Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)