Sport Picks
AD Cartaya vs Tomares UD Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 
Match Events
15'
15'
Vega R.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
Gordillo J.
43'
43'
Cerpa Gonzalez M. J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomares UD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tomares UD have won more games recently than AD Cartaya.
- Win probability leans Tomares UD's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 22%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Cartaya | Tomares UD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Tomares UD
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Cartaya
4:0
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Tomares UD
0:2
Dec 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Cartaya
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Cartaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerpa Gonzalez M. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garcia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Tomares UD Compare
Top Goalscorer Gordillo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Cartaya 10 / 100
Tomares UD 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Cartaya Tomares UD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tomares UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tomares UD conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: AD Cartaya scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
AD Cartaya has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tomares UD
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Cartaya
(Home) 11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0 AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0 AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2 CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0 AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3 Bollullos
Page 1 of 6
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0 AD Ceuta B
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2 CD Utrera
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3 Bollullos
30 Mar
AD Cartaya
2 : 2 Tomares UD
16 Mar
AD Cartaya
0 : 0 Cordoba B
Page 1 of 3
Tomares UD
(Away) 04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1 Portuense
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1 Tomares UD
20 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 0 Cordoba B
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0 Tomares UD
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2 Cadiz B
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1 Tomares UD
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0 Tomares UD
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2 Tomares UD
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0 Tomares UD
12 Apr
Bollullos
1 : 3 Tomares UD
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puente Genil | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63:24 | 71 |
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 49:20 | 68 |
| 3 | CD Utrera | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 48:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Atletico Central | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Tomares UD | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:32 | 55 |
| 6 | Bollullos | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 41:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 41:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:35 | 50 |
| 9 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:31 | 46 |
| 10 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 41:38 | 46 |
| 11 | Cordoba B | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 34:36 | 45 |
| 12 | Conil | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:40 | 41 |
| 14 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:48 | 36 |
| 15 | AD Cartaya | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:53 | 35 |
| 16 | La Palma CF | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 33:57 | 29 |
| 17 | Atletico Espeleno | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Inter Sevilla | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 25:70 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
