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AD Ceuta B vs Castilleja CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
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Match Events

24' Event
Osuna A.
63' Event
Mas D.
76' Event
Tejero D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AD Ceuta B
20%
Draws
40%
Castilleja CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AD Ceuta B have won more games recently than Castilleja CF.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on AD Ceuta B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 20%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Castilleja CF
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Castilleja CF
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs AD Ceuta B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Castilleja CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Osuna A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tejero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 36 / 100
Castilleja CF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Castilleja CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castilleja CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta B scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Castilleja CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Castilleja CF
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
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Castilleja CF

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)