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AD Ceuta B vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Agbor M.

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AD Ceuta B
20%
Draws
51%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Conil lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta B.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Ceuta B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 20%
Conil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Conil
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Conil
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs AD Ceuta B
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Conil
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs AD Ceuta B
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs AD Ceuta B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Conil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 32 / 100
Conil 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta B scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Conil let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

AD Ceuta B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Conil
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Dos Hermanas
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
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Conil

(Away)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)