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AD Ceuta B vs Dos Hermanas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Guzman G.
30' Event
Salibe J.
37' Event
Reina M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AD Ceuta B
20%
Draws
30%
Dos Hermanas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dos Hermanas come out ahead of AD Ceuta B on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on AD Ceuta B taking it.
  • Dos Hermanas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AD Ceuta B, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 15%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Dos Hermanas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.14 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs AD Ceuta B
4:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Dos Hermanas
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs AD Ceuta B
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Dos Hermanas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gamez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dos Hermanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Salibe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 66 / 100
Dos Hermanas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Dos Hermanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

AD Ceuta B's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dos Hermanas conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: AD Ceuta B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Dos Hermanas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Dos Hermanas
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
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Dos Hermanas

(Away)
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
06 Aug
Dos Hermanas
2 : 4
Antoniano
28 Jul
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 1
Dos Hermanas
07 Jun
Dos Hermanas
1 : 4
Atletico Central
31 May
Atletico Central
1 : 2
Dos Hermanas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Dos Hermanas 6
AD Ceuta B 4
Atletico Central 2
Bollullos 1
Final
Dos Hermanas 3
Atletico Central 5