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AD Ceuta B vs Linense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Gamez J.
86' Event
Fernandez F. G.

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AD Ceuta B
15%
Draws
51%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Linense lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta B.
  • Linense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 21%
Linense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Linense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Linense
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs AD Ceuta B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez F. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Linense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 29 / 100
Linense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta B's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Linense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Linense conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Linense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
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Linense

(Away)
20 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 1
Linense
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Atletico Central
2 : 1
Linense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)