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AD Ceuta vs Ecija

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta host Ecija in the Tercera Division - Group 10 2019/2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. AD Ceuta have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Ecija's 0 scored and 3 conceded. Head-to-head, AD Ceuta have won 4 to Ecija's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2020, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.06) back AD Ceuta to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AD Ceuta
15%
Draws
0%
Ecija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Ceuta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AD Ceuta a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AD Ceuta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 20%
Ecija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Ecija
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 30
Goals Scored 1.31 0
Goals Conceded 1.6 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Ecija
3:0
Dec 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ecija vs AD Ceuta
0:3
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Ecija
3:0
Nov 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ecija vs AD Ceuta
0:1
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ecija vs AD Ceuta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 85 / 100
Ecija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Ecija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecija let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Ecija's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

AD Ceuta found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1
AD Ceuta
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
Page 1 of 7

Ecija

(Away)
17 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Ecija
10 May
Ecija
0 : 3
Conil
03 May
AD Ceuta
3 : 0
Ecija
26 Apr
Ecija
0 : 3
Betis B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
3 : 0
Ecija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 30 19 5 6 71:28 62
2 Ciudad de Lucena 29 16 7 6 46:24 55
3 CD Utrera 30 16 7 7 44:22 55
4 Xerez Deportivo FC 29 17 4 8 44:24 55
5 AD Ceuta 30 15 9 6 53:22 54
6 Sevilla C 30 15 9 6 37:19 54
7 Antoniano 29 14 9 6 42:28 51
8 Puente Genil 29 14 8 7 48:35 50
9 Conil 30 11 10 9 37:37 43
10 CD Rota 29 12 7 10 47:49 43
11 Coria C.F. 29 11 9 9 39:36 42
12 San Roque de Lepe 29 11 7 11 39:31 40
13 Lebrijana 30 9 10 11 36:42 37
14 Inter Sevilla 29 9 6 14 31:37 33
15 Los Barrios 30 6 15 9 28:35 33
16 Xerez CD 30 10 5 15 34:43 32
17 Arcos CF 29 8 7 14 30:40 31
18 Pozoblanco 29 7 5 17 32:51 26
19 Cordoba B 30 7 5 18 33:54 26
20 Ecija 38 0 0 38 0:114 0
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)