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AD Ceuta vs Las Palmas

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta host Las Palmas in the LaLiga2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: AD Ceuta at 1.36 goals for, 1.64 against; Las Palmas at 1.39 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Las Palmas slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Las Palmas to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Ceuta
15%
Draws
34%
Las Palmas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Las Palmas at 1.39 per game, AD Ceuta at 1.36.
  • AD Ceuta are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Las Palmas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs AD Ceuta
4:0
Dec 14, 2025 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Las Palmas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 42 / 100
Las Palmas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Las Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Las Palmas let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AD Ceuta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS Las Palmas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0
Albacete
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Las Palmas

(Away)
08 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 3
Las Palmas
31 Jul
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Neom SC
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
25 Jul
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
22 Jul
Orlando Pirates
1 : 0
Las Palmas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Cordoba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Las Palmas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Castellon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Tenerife 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Albacete 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Eibar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cadiz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Burgos CF 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Mallorca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Almeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Valladolid 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Girona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Real Sociedad B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Celta Vigo B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Leganes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sabadell 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 AD Ceuta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Granada CF 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Real Oviedo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Eldense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 FC Andorra 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)