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AD Ceuta vs Las Palmas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Miyashiro T.
32'
Romero J.
50'
Kone K.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AD Ceuta
35%
Draws
32%
Las Palmas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Palmas lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta.
  • AD Ceuta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Las Palmas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 11%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Las Palmas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Las Palmas
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs AD Ceuta
4:0
Dec 14, 2025 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Las Palmas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyashiro T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuster M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 38 / 100
Las Palmas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Las Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Las Palmas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

AD Ceuta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS Las Palmas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
10 Oct
AD Ceuta
1 : 2
Sabadell
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
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Las Palmas

(Away)
04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2
Valladolid
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2
Las Palmas
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 10:7 16
5 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
6 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
7 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Celta Vigo B 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
12 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
13 Eldense 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
14 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
15 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
16 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
17 Cordoba 9 3 0 6 14:20 9
18 Real Sociedad B 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 9 1 2 6 8:20 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)