Sport Picks
AD Ceuta vs Real Sociedad B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta 
Match Events
33'
33'
Mariezkurrena A.
44'
44'
Kita K.
48'
48'
Kita K.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga2 game between AD Ceuta and Real Sociedad B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Ceuta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Real Sociedad B haven't matched AD Ceuta's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on AD Ceuta taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- AD Ceuta have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 68%
Real Sociedad B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta | Real Sociedad B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Real Sociedad B
3:1
Apr 10, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Real Sociedad B
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 LaLiga2
Real Sociedad B vs AD Ceuta
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Ceuta Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Escobar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Real Sociedad B Compare
Top Goalscorer Kita K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta 68 / 100
Real Sociedad B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta Real Sociedad B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Sociedad B let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
AD Ceuta found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: AD Ceuta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta VS Real Sociedad B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta
(Home) 04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1 AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
Page 1 of 3
Real Sociedad B
(Away) 04 Oct
Real Sociedad B
2 : 3 Granada CF
30 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 4 Real Sociedad B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1 Mallorca
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 4 Real Sociedad B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
12 Sept
FC Andorra
1 : 3 Real Sociedad B
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2 Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellon | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
