Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010

AD Colmenar

6 - 1

CD Arganda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 game between AD Colmenar and CD Arganda finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Colmenar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

AD Colmenar

Draws

CD Arganda

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

AD Colmenar carry the better recent record into this one.
AD Colmenar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 15%

CD Arganda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Colmenar	CD Arganda
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	7	10
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	2.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

AD Colmenar vs CD Arganda

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

6:1

Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Arganda vs AD Colmenar

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Colmenar 84 / 100

CD Arganda 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Colmenar CD Arganda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Arganda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

AD Colmenar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AD Colmenar found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

AD Colmenar VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

2.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano B	38	25	10	3	68:23	85
2	Parla	38	21	11	6	65:33	74
3	Getafe B	38	20	10	8	77:41	70
4	Trival Valderas	38	21	6	11	77:45	69
5	CF Fuenlabrada	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Real Madrid C	38	18	10	10	59:43	64
7	Navalcarnero	38	17	6	15	49:48	57
8	CD Mostoles	38	15	11	12	52:42	56
9	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	6	16	46:47	54
10	AD Colmenar	38	16	5	17	53:54	53
11	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	10	14	55:51	52
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	14	8	16	42:58	50
13	San Sebastian Reyes	38	14	8	16	57:57	50
14	Atletico Pinto	38	12	11	15	43:62	47
15	Vallecas CF	38	12	10	16	46:51	46
16	Mexico	38	10	13	15	46:53	43
17	CD Arganda	38	9	12	17	40:61	39
18	Santa Ana	38	8	6	24	38:73	30
19	CD Ciempozuelos	38	6	6	26	36:80	24
20	Galactico Pegaso	38	6	5	27	27:73	23