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AD Colmenar vs Siello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Colmenar in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Colmenar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
AD Colmenar
20%
Draws
17%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siello lately — more wins on the board than AD Colmenar.
  • Win probability leans AD Colmenar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 20%
Siello Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Colmenar Siello
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Siello
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Colmenar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Colmenar 85 / 100
Siello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Colmenar Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Colmenar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: AD Colmenar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AD Colmenar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Siello has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siello
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Colmenar

(Home)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Siello

(Away)
04 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 0
Siello
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)