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AD Fafe vs AD Oliveirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 5, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Fafe host AD Oliveirense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. AD Fafe have averaged 1.39 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against AD Oliveirense's 0.81 scored and 1.57 conceded. Past meetings favor AD Fafe slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.00, favoring AD Fafe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
AD Fafe
20%
Draws
7%
AD Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Fafe come out ahead of AD Oliveirense on wins alone.
  • Model gives AD Fafe a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 20%
AD Oliveirense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe AD Oliveirense
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.39 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs AD Oliveirense
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Oliveirense vs AD Fafe
0:1
Mar 24, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Oliveirense vs AD Fafe
1:1
Nov 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs AD Oliveirense
4:0
Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Oliveirense vs AD Fafe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 85 / 100
AD Oliveirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe AD Oliveirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Oliveirense let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

AD Fafe scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

AD Fafe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 7

AD Oliveirense

(Away)
07 Mar
Braga B
2 : 0
AD Oliveirense
01 Mar
AD Oliveirense
0 : 6
Vizela
22 Feb
Pedras Salgadas
3 : 2
AD Oliveirense
16 Feb
AD Oliveirense
0 : 0
Maria de Fonte
09 Feb
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Oliveirense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vizela 25 19 3 3 64:20 60
2 AD Fafe 25 16 4 5 34:18 52
3 Vitoria Guimaraes B 25 14 6 5 52:28 48
4 Braga B 25 14 4 7 48:25 46
5 Merelinense 25 12 7 6 42:31 43
6 Sao Martinho 25 13 5 7 44:26 41
7 Maria de Fonte 25 10 10 5 45:29 40
8 Maritimo B 25 10 9 6 43:37 39
9 CDC Montalegre 25 10 7 8 39:32 37
10 Berco 25 9 6 10 37:37 33
11 Chaves B 25 8 7 10 44:39 31
12 SC Mirandela 25 8 6 11 26:33 30
13 U. Madeira 25 9 3 13 35:49 30
14 Pedras Salgadas 25 6 8 11 25:43 26
15 Cerveira 25 5 5 15 25:58 20
16 GD Braganca 25 3 8 14 24:36 17
17 AD Oliveirense 25 2 10 13 21:43 16
18 Camara de Lobos 25 2 2 21 15:79 8
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2020/2021 (Main)