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AD Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Fafe host Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. Pacos Ferreira have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while AD Fafe have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, AD Fafe have won 1 to Pacos Ferreira's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.56 - 0.69) back AD Fafe to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AD Fafe
30%
Draws
12%
Pacos Ferreira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Fafe have won more games recently than Pacos Ferreira.
  • AD Fafe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 20%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.47 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Pacos Ferreira vs AD Fafe
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
AD Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 85 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Pacos Ferreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Fafe found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Pacos Ferreira has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Fafe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS Pacos Ferreira
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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Pacos Ferreira

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
5 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)