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AD Limianos vs GD Joane

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Salvador A.
90' Event
Dantas C.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between AD Limianos and GD Joane finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
AD Limianos
20%
Draws
19%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of GD Joane on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Limianos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Limianos GD Joane
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.52 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs GD Joane
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs AD Limianos
1:1
Mar 3, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
GD Joane vs AD Limianos
1:0
Nov 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Limianos vs GD Joane
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvador A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dantas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

GD Joane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 95 / 100
GD Joane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Limianos GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: AD Limianos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AD Limianos's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Limianos VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Limianos

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
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GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)