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AD Limianos vs Ribeirao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Awurum S.
29' Event
Graca H.
45' Event
Willian

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between AD Limianos and Ribeirao finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribeirao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
AD Limianos
30%
Draws
9%
Ribeirao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of Ribeirao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Limianos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Limianos Ribeirao
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ribeirao vs AD Limianos
1:1
Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Ribeirao
1:2
Apr 21, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Ribeirao vs AD Limianos
3:0
Jan 5, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Limianos vs Ribeirao
0:0
Apr 1, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Limianos vs Ribeirao
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Graca H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ribeirao Compare

Top Goalscorer Awurum S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 95 / 100
Ribeirao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Limianos Ribeirao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Limianos scored in 80% of their last 44 outings.

AD Limianos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ribeirao conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Limianos VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Limianos

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
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Ribeirao

(Away)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)