Sport Picks
AD Llerenense vs CD Calamonte
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Jardon M.
45'
45'
Peguero G.
55'
55'
Tome M.
AI Match Summary
AD Llerenense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Llerenense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Llerenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- CD Calamonte haven't matched AD Llerenense's recent run of results.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on AD Llerenense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and AD Llerenense have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 17%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Llerenense | CD Calamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CD Calamonte
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
0:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Llerenense Compare
Top Goalscorer Peguero G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tome M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
CD Calamonte Compare
Top Goalscorer Jardon M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Llerenense 84 / 100
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Llerenense CD Calamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Calamonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
AD Llerenense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: AD Llerenense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Llerenense VS CD Calamonte
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Llerenense
(Home) 19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1 Jaraiz
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
Page 1 of 3
CD Calamonte
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
29 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 CD Calamonte
15 Mar
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
