Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Llerenense vs Puebla de la Calzada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Llerenense host Puebla de la Calzada in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Puebla de la Calzada have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while AD Llerenense have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor AD Llerenense slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.25) back AD Llerenense to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AD Llerenense
30%
Draws
27%
Puebla de la Calzada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Llerenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • AD Llerenense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AD Llerenense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 19%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Llerenense Puebla de la Calzada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs AD Llerenense
4:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Puebla de la Calzada
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs AD Llerenense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Llerenense 32 / 100
Puebla de la Calzada 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Llerenense Puebla de la Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Puebla de la Calzada conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: AD Llerenense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AD Llerenense scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Llerenense VS Puebla de la Calzada
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Llerenense

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

Puebla de la Calzada

(Away)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)